How it finished
Gil Vicente beat Moreirense 1–0. Bawler's model had Gil Vicente in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Moreirense had 12 shots (2 on target) to Gil Vicente's 13 (3), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Moreirense vs Gil Vicente?
Gil Vicente beat Moreirense 1–0. Bawler's model had Gil Vicente in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Moreirense had 12 shots (2 on target) to Gil Vicente's 13 (3), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.5.
What was the final score in Moreirense vs Gil Vicente?
Moreirense 0–1 Gil Vicente, played on 09 Oct 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Moreirense 26%, the draw 28% and Gil Vicente 46%.
What were the stats in Moreirense vs Gil Vicente?
Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.5, Shots 12–13, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 7–7, Big chances 2–2, Corners 4–3, Saves 2–2, Fouls 12–14, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 3–4.
Did both teams score in Moreirense vs Gil Vicente?
No. It finished 0–1, so Moreirense failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Moreirense vs Gil Vicente right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Gil Vicente or draw 74%, it finished Gil Vicente won (46% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished No.