How it finished
Celtic beat Motherwell 2–0. Bawler's model had Celtic in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Motherwell had 8 shots (2 on target) to Celtic's 26 (15), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Motherwell vs Celtic?
Celtic beat Motherwell 2–0. Bawler's model had Celtic in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Motherwell had 8 shots (2 on target) to Celtic's 26 (15), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.9.
What was the final score in Motherwell vs Celtic?
Motherwell 0–2 Celtic, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Motherwell 26%, the draw 25% and Celtic 50%.
What were the stats in Motherwell vs Celtic?
Full-time: Possession 34%–66%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–2.9, Shots 8–26, Shots on target 2–15, Shots inside box 6–20, Big chances 3–2, Corners 2–9, Saves 12–2, Fouls 3–4, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Motherwell vs Celtic?
No. It finished 0–2, so Motherwell failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Motherwell vs Celtic right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Celtic or draw 74%, it finished Celtic won (50% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.