Nashville SC beat FC Cincinnati 4–0. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Nashville SC had 19 shots (7 on target) to FC Cincinnati's 15 (8), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 83%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Nashville SC beat FC Cincinnati 4–0. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Nashville SC had 19 shots (7 on target) to FC Cincinnati's 15 (8), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.8.
Nashville SC 4–0 FC Cincinnati, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Nashville SC 54%, the draw 23% and FC Cincinnati 23%.
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–1.8, Shots 19–15, Shots on target 7–8, Shots inside box 12–9, Big chances 4–5, Corners 6–4, Saves 6–4, Fouls 14–9, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 3–2.
No. It finished 4–0, so FC Cincinnati failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Nashville SC or draw 77%, it finished Nashville SC won (54% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Nashville SC to win 54%, it finished Landed.