Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati prediction — MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 01:30 UK

MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 01:30 UK
Nashville SC 54Draw 23FC Cincinnati 23
Our call before kickoff
77%
Nashville SC or draw
Landed
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
83%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
62%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
63%

How it finished

Nashville SC beat FC Cincinnati 4–0. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Nashville SC had 19 shots (7 on target) to FC Cincinnati's 15 (8), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.8.

Nashville SCFull-time statsFC Cincinnati
52%Possession48%
2.0Expected goals (xG)1.8
19Shots15
7Shots on target8
12Shots inside box9
4Big chances5
6Corners4
6Saves4
14Fouls9
4Offsides0
3Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callNashville SC or draw 77%Nashville SC won (54% called)
Total goals3.34
Both teams to score62%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 84%Landed
Second pickNashville SC to win 54%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Nashville SCFC Cincinnati
2.0
Goals+0.7
1.3
18.6
Shots+8.3
10.3
6.1
On target+0.5
5.6
6.0
Corners+1.6
4.3
Nashville SCFC Cincinnati
0.7
Goals+0.1
0.5
9.3
Shots+4.5
4.8
3.0
On target+0.4
2.6
2.8
Corners+0.8
2.0
Nashville SCFC Cincinnati
1.3
Goals+0.6
0.7
9.3
Shots+3.8
5.5
3.1
On target+0.1
2.9
3.2
Corners+0.9
2.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Nashville SC to score86%
Over 1.5 goals84%
FC Cincinnati to score72%
Over 2.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

Nashville SC
65%
to score before half-time
FC Cincinnati
52%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 83%

Nashville SCFC Cincinnati
9.31st-half shots4.8
3.01st-half shots on target2.6
2.81st-half corners2.0

First-half chances

65%Chance of 8+ shots16%
44%Chance of 10+ shots<10%
76%Chance of 2+ shots on target70%
36%Chance of 4+ shots on target28%
72%Chance of 2+ corners56%
31%Chance of 4+ corners17%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Nashville SC9.39.3
Shots · FC Cincinnati4.85.5
Shots on target · Nashville SC3.03.1
Shots on target · FC Cincinnati2.62.9
Corners · Nashville SC2.83.2
Corners · FC Cincinnati2.02.3
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Nashville SC 1 · Draws 2 · FC Cincinnati 2
FC Cincinnati in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Sept 2025FC Cincinnati 2–1 Nashville SC
Mar 2025Nashville SC 1–2 FC Cincinnati
Sept 2024Nashville SC 2–2 FC Cincinnati
May 2024FC Cincinnati 0–2 Nashville SC
Aug 2023FC Cincinnati 1–1 Nashville SC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?

Nashville SC beat FC Cincinnati 4–0. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Nashville SC had 19 shots (7 on target) to FC Cincinnati's 15 (8), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.8.

What was the final score in Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?

Nashville SC 4–0 FC Cincinnati, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Nashville SC 54%, the draw 23% and FC Cincinnati 23%.

What were the stats in Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–1.8, Shots 19–15, Shots on target 7–8, Shots inside box 12–9, Big chances 4–5, Corners 6–4, Saves 6–4, Fouls 14–9, Offsides 4–0, Yellow cards 3–2.

Did both teams score in Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?

No. It finished 4–0, so FC Cincinnati failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Nashville SC or draw 77%, it finished Nashville SC won (54% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Nashville SC to win 54%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Nashville SC form →FC Cincinnati form →