How it finished
New England Revolution and New York City FC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured New England Revolution at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. New England Revolution had 10 shots (6 on target) to New York City FC's 12 (5), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won New England Revolution vs New York City FC?
New England Revolution and New York City FC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured New England Revolution at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. New England Revolution had 10 shots (6 on target) to New York City FC's 12 (5), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 1.4.
What was the final score in New England Revolution vs New York City FC?
New England Revolution 1–1 New York City FC, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with New England Revolution 41%, the draw 26% and New York City FC 33%.
What were the stats in New England Revolution vs New York City FC?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–1.4, Shots 10–12, Shots on target 6–5, Shots inside box 8–8, Big chances 5–3, Corners 6–4, Saves 4–4, Fouls 6–12, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in New England Revolution vs New York City FC?
Yes — both New England Revolution and New York City FC scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for New England Revolution vs New York City FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said New England Revolution or draw 67%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.