How it finished
Newcastle United beat Hull City 2–1. Bawler's model had Newcastle United in front at 72% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. Newcastle United had 11 shots (5 on target) to Hull City's 21 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Newcastle United vs Hull City?
Newcastle United beat Hull City 2–1. Bawler's model had Newcastle United in front at 72% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. Newcastle United had 11 shots (5 on target) to Hull City's 21 (4), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.3.
What was the final score in Newcastle United vs Hull City?
Newcastle United 2–1 Hull City, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Newcastle United 72%, the draw 17% and Hull City 11%.
What were the stats in Newcastle United vs Hull City?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.3, Shots 11–21, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 9–13, Big chances 1–1, Corners 4–7, Saves 3–3, Fouls 4–10, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–4.
Did both teams score in Newcastle United vs Hull City?
Yes — both Newcastle United and Hull City scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Newcastle United vs Hull City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Newcastle United to win 72%, it finished Newcastle United won (72% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes.