How it finished
Nice and Le Mans drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Nice at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Nice had 8 shots (2 on target) to Le Mans' 8 (3), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Nice vs Le Mans?
Nice and Le Mans drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Nice at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Nice had 8 shots (2 on target) to Le Mans' 8 (3), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.3.
What was the final score in Nice vs Le Mans?
Nice 1–1 Le Mans, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Nice 51%, the draw 25% and Le Mans 24%.
What were the stats in Nice vs Le Mans?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.3, Shots 8–8, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 5–2, Big chances 2–2, Corners 5–2, Saves 2–1, Fouls 4–11, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Nice vs Le Mans?
Yes — both Nice and Le Mans scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Nice vs Le Mans right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Nice or draw 76%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Nice to win 51%, it finished Missed.