Nottingham Forest and Tottenham Hotspur drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Nottingham Forest at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.7 goals; nobody scored. Nottingham Forest had 12 shots (2 on target) to Tottenham Hotspur's 12 (0), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Nottingham Forest and Tottenham Hotspur drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Nottingham Forest at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.7 goals; nobody scored. Nottingham Forest had 12 shots (2 on target) to Tottenham Hotspur's 12 (0), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.6.
Nottingham Forest 0–0 Tottenham Hotspur, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Nottingham Forest 48%, the draw 26% and Tottenham Hotspur 26%.
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.6, Shots 12–12, Shots on target 2–0, Shots inside box 5–9, Big chances 1–2, Corners 2–10, Saves 0–1, Fouls 22–13, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–2.
No. It finished 0–0, so Nottingham Forest failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Nottingham Forest or draw 74%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No.