How it finished
Omonia Nicosia beat Celta Vigo 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Celta Vigo at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Omonia Nicosia 30%. It forecast 2.6 goals; only 1 was scored. Omonia Nicosia had 10 shots (4 on target) to Celta Vigo's 19 (5), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 0.3 to 1.2, so Celta Vigo created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?
Omonia Nicosia beat Celta Vigo 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Celta Vigo at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Omonia Nicosia 30%. It forecast 2.6 goals; only 1 was scored. Omonia Nicosia had 10 shots (4 on target) to Celta Vigo's 19 (5), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 0.3 to 1.2, so Celta Vigo created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?
Omonia Nicosia 1–0 Celta Vigo, played on 16 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Omonia Nicosia 30%, the draw 27% and Celta Vigo 42%.
What were the stats in Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 0.3–1.2, Shots 10–19, Shots on target 4–5, Shots inside box 2–12, Big chances 0–1, Corners 3–10, Saves 4–3, Fouls 4–15, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo?
No. It finished 1–0, so Celta Vigo failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Celta Vigo or draw 70%, it finished Omonia Nicosia won (30% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Missed.