How it finished
Paris Saint-Germain beat Le Mans 3–1. Bawler's model had Paris Saint-Germain in front at 80% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.8 goals and the match produced 4. Paris Saint-Germain had 22 shots (8 on target) to Le Mans' 11 (3), with 73% of the ball against 27%. Expected goals finished 4.1 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 83%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans?
Paris Saint-Germain beat Le Mans 3–1. Bawler's model had Paris Saint-Germain in front at 80% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.8 goals and the match produced 4. Paris Saint-Germain had 22 shots (8 on target) to Le Mans' 11 (3), with 73% of the ball against 27%. Expected goals finished 4.1 to 1.6.
What was the final score in Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans?
Paris Saint-Germain 3–1 Le Mans, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Paris Saint-Germain 80%, the draw 13% and Le Mans 7%.
What were the stats in Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans?
Full-time: Possession 73%–27%, Expected goals (xG) 4.1–1.6, Shots 22–11, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 13–7, Big chances 7–4, Corners 4–4, Saves 2–5, Fouls 3–17, Offsides 1–5, Yellow cards 0–5.
Did both teams score in Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans?
Yes — both Paris Saint-Germain and Le Mans scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Paris Saint-Germain to win 80%, it finished Paris Saint-Germain won (80% called); Total goals — we said 3.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Both teams to score 53%, it finished Landed.