Per-game numbers from 52 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026
PSG prediction: Bawler's model rates PSG at 1.98 expected goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match across 8 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 75% of the time. They have won 2 of their last 5 settled matches. No PSG fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.
PSG carry a strong attacking profile, creating 1.98 expected goals per game against a Ligue 1 average of 1.58. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.63 goals a game against 1.98 expected. Across 8 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on PSG have been correct 75% of the time.
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How PSG compare with the France: Ligue 1 average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the France: Ligue 1 average (1.58 scored, 1.45 conceded).
Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.
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