How it finished
SC Cambuur beat PEC Zwolle 1–0. Bawler's model favoured PEC Zwolle at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave SC Cambuur 28%. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 1 was scored. PEC Zwolle had 15 shots (6 on target) to SC Cambuur's 13 (4), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 1.0 to 0.8, so PEC Zwolle created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 87%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur?
SC Cambuur beat PEC Zwolle 1–0. Bawler's model favoured PEC Zwolle at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave SC Cambuur 28%. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 1 was scored. PEC Zwolle had 15 shots (6 on target) to SC Cambuur's 13 (4), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 1.0 to 0.8, so PEC Zwolle created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur?
PEC Zwolle 0–1 SC Cambuur, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with PEC Zwolle 49%, the draw 23% and SC Cambuur 28%.
What were the stats in PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur?
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.8, Shots 15–13, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 11–11, Big chances 4–4, Corners 5–5, Saves 3–6, Fouls 16–15, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 3–3.
Did both teams score in PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur?
No. It finished 0–1, so PEC Zwolle failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 66% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said PEC Zwolle or draw 72%, it finished SC Cambuur won (28% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 66%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 86%, it finished Missed.