USA: MLSWednesday 19 Aug, 23:30 UTC

Philadelphia Union vInter Miami CF

Most likely scoreline
1–1
10% of the time · 3.37 goals expected
Philadelphia Union 39%Draw 25%Inter Miami CF 36%
How we get there
Philadelphia UnionstepInter Miami CF
1.85Base xG · rolling 26-match1.52
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.85Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.52

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Philadelphia Union average 7.1 corners per game at home this season (28 competitive matches). Inter Miami average 4.7 corners per game away from home this season (25 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
3
5
4
2
1
1
6
10
7
4
1
2
6
9
7
3
1
3
4
6
4
2
1
4
2
3
2
1
5
1
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Philadelphia Union fixtures & form →Inter Miami CF fixtures & form →

Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 24 May 2026, Philadelphia Union have won 0, Inter Miami have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
24 May 2026Inter Miami 6–4 Philadelphia UnionUSA: MLS

The model's verdict for this fixture: Philadelphia Union 39% · draw 25% · Inter Miami 36%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Philadelphia Union predictions & form →Inter Miami predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.