Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami CF drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Philadelphia Union at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 4. Philadelphia Union had 17 shots (6 on target) to Inter Miami CF's 5 (3), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 1.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami CF drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Philadelphia Union at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 4. Philadelphia Union had 17 shots (6 on target) to Inter Miami CF's 5 (3), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 1.5.
Philadelphia Union 2–2 Inter Miami CF, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Philadelphia Union 44%, the draw 23% and Inter Miami CF 32%.
Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 2.6–1.5, Shots 17–5, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 14–3, Big chances 8–2, Corners 4–1, Saves 1–4, Fouls 18–13, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 4–2, Red cards 1–1.
Yes — both Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami CF scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 68% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Philadelphia Union or draw 68%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 68%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 86%, it finished Landed.