Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami CF prediction — MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 00:30 UK

MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 00:30 UK
Philadelphia Union 44Draw 23Inter Miami CF 32
Our call before kickoff
68%
Philadelphia Union or draw
Landed
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2
Both teams score (before kick-off)
68%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
68%

How it finished

Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami CF drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Philadelphia Union at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 4. Philadelphia Union had 17 shots (6 on target) to Inter Miami CF's 5 (3), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 1.5.

Philadelphia…Full-time statsInter Miami
43%Possession57%
2.6Expected goals (xG)1.5
17Shots5
6Shots on target3
14Shots inside box3
8Big chances2
4Corners1
1Saves4
18Fouls13
3Offsides3
4Yellow cards2
1Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callPhiladelphia Union or draw 68%Draw (23% called)
Total goals3.54
Both teams to score68%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 86%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Philadelphia UnionInter Miami CF
1.9
Goals+0.3
1.6

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals86%
Philadelphia Union to score85%
Inter Miami CF to score80%
Over 2.5 goals68%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Philadelphia Union 0 · Draws 1 · Inter Miami CF 4
Inter Miami CF in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

May 2026Inter Miami CF 6–4 Philadelphia Union
May 2025Philadelphia Union 3–3 Inter Miami CF
Mar 2025Inter Miami CF 2–1 Philadelphia Union
Sept 2024Inter Miami CF 3–1 Philadelphia Union
Jun 2024Philadelphia Union 1–2 Inter Miami CF
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami CF?

Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami CF drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Philadelphia Union at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 4. Philadelphia Union had 17 shots (6 on target) to Inter Miami CF's 5 (3), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 1.5.

What was the final score in Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami CF?

Philadelphia Union 2–2 Inter Miami CF, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Philadelphia Union 44%, the draw 23% and Inter Miami CF 32%.

What were the stats in Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami CF?

Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 2.6–1.5, Shots 17–5, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 14–3, Big chances 8–2, Corners 4–1, Saves 1–4, Fouls 18–13, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 4–2, Red cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami CF?

Yes — both Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami CF scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 68% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami CF right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Philadelphia Union or draw 68%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 68%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 86%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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