Portsmouth and Blackburn Rovers drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Portsmouth at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. Portsmouth had 20 shots (6 on target) to Blackburn Rovers' 8 (5), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Portsmouth and Blackburn Rovers drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Portsmouth at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. Portsmouth had 20 shots (6 on target) to Blackburn Rovers' 8 (5), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.5.
Portsmouth 2–2 Blackburn Rovers, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Portsmouth 42%, the draw 28% and Blackburn Rovers 30%.
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.5, Shots 20–8, Shots on target 6–5, Shots inside box 15–7, Big chances 1–1, Corners 9–7, Saves 3–4, Fouls 16–9, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–1.
Yes — both Portsmouth and Blackburn Rovers scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Portsmouth or draw 70%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 71%, it finished Landed.