Preston North End vs Millwall prediction — Championship · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK

Championship · Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK
Preston North End 32Draw 25Millwall 43
Our call before kickoff
68%
Millwall or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
68%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
60%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
58%

How it finished

Millwall beat Preston North End 1–0. Bawler's model had Millwall in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Preston North End had 12 shots (1 on target) to Millwall's 11 (3), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.1.

Preston North…Full-time statsMillwall
46%Possession54%
0.6Expected goals (xG)1.1
12Shots11
1Shots on target3
7Shots inside box7
1Big chances2
4Corners4
2Saves1
8Fouls11
0Offsides2
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callMillwall or draw 68%Millwall won (43% called)
Total goals3.01
Both teams to score60%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 80%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Preston North EndMillwall
1.4
Goals+0.2
1.6
14.4
Shots+0.5
13.9
3.5
On target+0.8
4.3
5.2
Corners+1.0
4.2
Preston North EndMillwall
0.4
Goals
0.4
6.8
Shots+0.5
6.3
1.6
On target+0.3
1.9
2.4
Corners+0.5
2.0
Preston North EndMillwall
1.0
Goals+0.2
1.2
7.6
Shots
7.6
1.9
On target+0.5
2.4
2.7
Corners+0.5
2.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Millwall to score80%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Preston North End to score75%
Under 3.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Preston North End
43%
to score before half-time
Millwall
43%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%

Preston North EndMillwall
6.81st-half shots6.3
1.61st-half shots on target1.9
2.41st-half corners2.0

First-half chances

62%Chance of 6+ shots56%
38%Chance of 8+ shots32%
75%Chance of 1+ shots on target81%
23%Chance of 3+ shots on target30%
87%Chance of 1+ corners81%
42%Chance of 3+ corners31%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Preston North End6.87.6
Shots · Millwall6.37.6
Shots on target · Preston North End1.61.9
Shots on target · Millwall1.92.4
Corners · Preston North End2.42.7
Corners · Millwall2.02.2
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Preston North End form (last 6)L W L L D L
Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Preston North End 0 · Draws 3 · Millwall 2
Millwall in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Feb 2026Preston North End 0–2 Millwall
Nov 2025Millwall 1–1 Preston North End
Feb 2025Preston North End 1–1 Millwall
Sept 2024Millwall 3–1 Preston North End
Jan 2024Millwall 1–1 Preston North End
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Preston North End vs Millwall?

Millwall beat Preston North End 1–0. Bawler's model had Millwall in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Preston North End had 12 shots (1 on target) to Millwall's 11 (3), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.1.

What was the final score in Preston North End vs Millwall?

Preston North End 0–1 Millwall, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Preston North End 32%, the draw 25% and Millwall 43%.

What were the stats in Preston North End vs Millwall?

Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.1, Shots 12–11, Shots on target 1–3, Shots inside box 7–7, Big chances 1–2, Corners 4–4, Saves 2–1, Fouls 8–11, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Preston North End vs Millwall?

No. It finished 0–1, so Preston North End failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Preston North End vs Millwall right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Millwall or draw 68%, it finished Millwall won (43% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Preston North End form →Millwall form →