RAAL La Louvière and KV Mechelen drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured RAAL La Louvière at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. RAAL La Louvière had 14 shots (5 on target) to KV Mechelen's 16 (7), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 2.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
RAAL La Louvière and KV Mechelen drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured RAAL La Louvière at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. RAAL La Louvière had 14 shots (5 on target) to KV Mechelen's 16 (7), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 2.1.
RAAL La Louvière 2–2 KV Mechelen, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with RAAL La Louvière 41%, the draw 28% and KV Mechelen 32%.
Full-time: Possession 34%–66%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–2.1, Shots 14–16, Shots on target 5–7, Shots inside box 10–13, Big chances 4–2, Corners 1–6, Saves 5–3, Fouls 10–8, Offsides 0–5, Yellow cards 2–2.
Yes — both RAAL La Louvière and KV Mechelen scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said RAAL La Louvière or draw 68%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Missed.