RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen prediction — Belgian Pro League · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK

Belgian Pro League · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK
RAAL La Louvière 41Draw 28KV Mechelen 32
Our call before kickoff
68%
RAAL La Louvière or draw
Landed
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
70%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
53%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
49%

How it finished

RAAL La Louvière and KV Mechelen drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured RAAL La Louvière at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. RAAL La Louvière had 14 shots (5 on target) to KV Mechelen's 16 (7), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 2.1.

RAAL La…Full-time statsKV Mechelen
34%Possession66%
2.2Expected goals (xG)2.1
14Shots16
5Shots on target7
10Shots inside box13
4Big chances2
1Corners6
5Saves3
10Fouls8
0Offsides5
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callRAAL La Louvière or draw 68%Draw (28% called)
Total goals2.64
Both teams to score53%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 74%Landed
Second pickUnder 2.5 goals 51%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

RAAL La LouvièreKV Mechelen
1.4
Goals+0.2
1.2
16.8
Shots+6.5
10.3
6.0
On target+2.1
3.9
6.7
Corners+2.8
3.8
RAAL La LouvièreKV Mechelen
0.4
Goals
0.5
7.7
Shots+2.9
4.9
2.6
On target+0.7
1.9
3.1
Corners+1.3
1.8
RAAL La LouvièreKV Mechelen
1.0
Goals+0.2
0.8
9.1
Shots+3.6
5.5
3.4
On target+1.3
2.0
3.5
Corners+1.5
2.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
RAAL La Louvière to score76%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals73%
KV Mechelen to score71%

First half — what we expected

RAAL La Louvière
44%
to score before half-time
KV Mechelen
46%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%

RAAL La LouvièreKV Mechelen
7.71st-half shots4.9
2.61st-half shots on target1.9
3.11st-half corners1.8

First-half chances

60%Chance of 7+ shots25%
38%Chance of 9+ shots10%
70%Chance of 2+ shots on target53%
28%Chance of 4+ shots on target15%
77%Chance of 2+ corners50%
38%Chance of 4+ corners14%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · RAAL La Louvière7.79.1
Shots · KV Mechelen4.95.5
Shots on target · RAAL La Louvière2.63.4
Shots on target · KV Mechelen1.92.0
Corners · RAAL La Louvière3.13.5
Corners · KV Mechelen1.82.0
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 3RAAL La Louvière 0 · Draws 0 · KV Mechelen 3
KV Mechelen in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Feb 2026RAAL La Louviere 0–2 KV Mechelen
Aug 2025KV Mechelen 3–2 RAAL La Louviere
Oct 2024KV Mechelen 3–1 RAAL La Louviere
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen?

RAAL La Louvière and KV Mechelen drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured RAAL La Louvière at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. RAAL La Louvière had 14 shots (5 on target) to KV Mechelen's 16 (7), with 34% of the ball against 66%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 2.1.

What was the final score in RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen?

RAAL La Louvière 2–2 KV Mechelen, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with RAAL La Louvière 41%, the draw 28% and KV Mechelen 32%.

What were the stats in RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen?

Full-time: Possession 34%–66%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–2.1, Shots 14–16, Shots on target 5–7, Shots inside box 10–13, Big chances 4–2, Corners 1–6, Saves 5–3, Fouls 10–8, Offsides 0–5, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen?

Yes — both RAAL La Louvière and KV Mechelen scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for RAAL La Louvière vs KV Mechelen right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said RAAL La Louvière or draw 68%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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