How it finished
Racing Santander beat Alavés 2–1. Bawler's model had Racing Santander in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Racing Santander had 11 shots (4 on target) to Alavés' 16 (8), with 57% of the ball against 43%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 2.0, so Alavés created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Racing Santander vs Alavés?
Racing Santander beat Alavés 2–1. Bawler's model had Racing Santander in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Racing Santander had 11 shots (4 on target) to Alavés' 16 (8), with 57% of the ball against 43%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 2.0, so Alavés created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Racing Santander vs Alavés?
Racing Santander 2–1 Alavés, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Racing Santander 41%, the draw 27% and Alavés 32%.
What were the stats in Racing Santander vs Alavés?
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–2.0, Shots 11–16, Shots on target 4–8, Shots inside box 8–10, Big chances 2–4, Corners 4–6, Saves 7–2, Fouls 16–17, Offsides 2–9, Yellow cards 2–3, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Racing Santander vs Alavés?
Yes — both Racing Santander and Alavés scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Racing Santander vs Alavés right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Racing Santander or draw 68%, it finished Racing Santander won (41% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.