Racing Santander vs Elche prediction — LaLiga · Fri 28 Aug · 18:00 UK

LaLiga · Fri 28 Aug · 18:00 UK
Racing Santander 48Draw 26Elche 26
Our call before kickoff
74%
Racing Santander or draw
Landed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
72%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
56%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
54%

How it finished

Racing Santander beat Elche 3–2. Bawler's model had Racing Santander in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Racing Santander had 13 shots (6 on target) to Elche's 18 (7), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 1.1.

Racing…Full-time statsElche
40%Possession60%
1.5Expected goals (xG)1.1
13Shots18
6Shots on target7
9Shots inside box9
5Big chances1
5Corners10
5Saves3
17Fouls19
3Offsides1
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callRacing Santander or draw 74%Racing Santander won (48% called)
Total goals2.85
Both teams to score56%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 54%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Racing SantanderElche
1.7
Goals+0.5
1.2
14.5
Shots+6.1
8.4
3.7
On target+0.5
3.2
Racing SantanderElche
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
6.6
Shots+2.9
3.7
1.7
On target+0.1
1.5
Racing SantanderElche
1.2
Goals+0.4
0.8
7.9
Shots+3.2
4.7
2.0
On target+0.3
1.7

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Racing Santander to score81%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Elche to score69%
Under 3.5 goals68%

First half — what we expected

Racing Santander
52%
to score before half-time
Elche
41%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%

Racing SantanderElche
6.61st-half shots3.7
1.71st-half shots on target1.5
0.51st-half corners2.0

First-half chances

59%Chance of 6+ shots20%
35%Chance of 8+ shots<10%
77%Chance of 1+ shots on target73%
24%Chance of 3+ shots on target21%
32%Chance of 1+ corners82%
<10%Chance of 3+ corners33%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Racing Santander6.67.9
Shots · Elche3.74.7
Shots on target · Racing Santander1.72.0
Shots on target · Elche1.51.7
Corners · Racing Santander0.50.5
Corners · Elche2.02.3
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Racing Santander 2 · Draws 1 · Elche 2
Elche in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Mar 2025Racing Santander 2–0 Elche
Dec 2024Elche 3–0 Racing Santander
May 2024Racing Santander 3–1 Elche
Sept 2023Elche 1–1 Racing Santander
Jul 2020Racing Santander 1–2 Elche
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Racing Santander vs Elche?

Racing Santander beat Elche 3–2. Bawler's model had Racing Santander in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 5. Racing Santander had 13 shots (6 on target) to Elche's 18 (7), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 1.1.

What was the final score in Racing Santander vs Elche?

Racing Santander 3–2 Elche, played on 28 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Racing Santander 48%, the draw 26% and Elche 26%.

What were the stats in Racing Santander vs Elche?

Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–1.1, Shots 13–18, Shots on target 6–7, Shots inside box 9–9, Big chances 5–1, Corners 5–10, Saves 5–3, Fouls 17–19, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Racing Santander vs Elche?

Yes — both Racing Santander and Elche scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Racing Santander vs Elche right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Racing Santander or draw 74%, it finished Racing Santander won (48% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Racing Santander form →Elche form →