How it finished
Racing Santander and Valencia drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Racing Santander at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Racing Santander had 20 shots (11 on target) to Valencia's 10 (2), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Racing Santander vs Valencia?
Racing Santander and Valencia drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Racing Santander at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Racing Santander had 20 shots (11 on target) to Valencia's 10 (2), with 54% of the ball against 46%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.7.
What was the final score in Racing Santander vs Valencia?
Racing Santander 2–2 Valencia, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Racing Santander 38%, the draw 25% and Valencia 37%.
What were the stats in Racing Santander vs Valencia?
Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.7, Shots 20–10, Shots on target 11–2, Shots inside box 7–7, Big chances 1–4, Corners 8–3, Saves 0–9, Fouls 15–10, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 3–3.
Did both teams score in Racing Santander vs Valencia?
Yes — both Racing Santander and Valencia scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Racing Santander vs Valencia right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Racing Santander or draw 63%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.