Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club prediction — LaLiga · Sat 10 Oct · 13:00 UK

LaLiga · Sat 10 Oct · 13:00 UK
Rayo Vallecano 44Draw 27Athletic Club 29
Our call before kickoff
71%
Rayo Vallecano or draw
Landed
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
67%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
54%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
50%

How it finished

Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Rayo Vallecano at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; nobody scored. Rayo Vallecano had 1 shots (1 on target) to Athletic Club's 1 (0).

Rayo…Full-time statsAthletic Club
1Shots1
1Shots on target0
1Corners2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callRayo Vallecano or draw 71%Draw (27% called)
Total goals2.70
Both teams to score54%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 75%Missed
Second pickBoth teams to score 54%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club
1.5
Goals+0.3
1.2
15.3
Shots+0.2
15.5
4.8
On target+0.4
5.2
5.3
Corners+2.2
7.5
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
7.2
Shots+0.1
7.2
2.2
On target+0.1
2.3
2.5
Corners+1.0
3.5
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club
1.0
Goals+0.2
0.8
8.1
Shots+0.1
8.2
2.6
On target+0.3
2.9
2.8
Corners+1.2
4.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Rayo Vallecano to score78%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals72%
Athletic Club to score69%

First half — what we expected

Rayo Vallecano
49%
to score before half-time
Athletic Club
35%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%

Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club
7.21st-half shots7.2
2.21st-half shots on target2.3
2.51st-half corners3.5

First-half chances

66%Chance of 6+ shots67%
42%Chance of 8+ shots43%
85%Chance of 1+ shots on target87%
36%Chance of 3+ shots on target40%
43%Chance of 3+ corners64%
14%Chance of 5+ corners29%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Rayo Vallecano7.28.1
Shots · Athletic Club7.28.2
Shots on target · Rayo Vallecano2.22.6
Shots on target · Athletic Club2.32.9
Corners · Rayo Vallecano2.52.8
Corners · Athletic Club3.54.0
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Rayo Vallecano form (last 6)L W L W D D
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Rayo Vallecano 0 · Draws 1 · Athletic Club 4
Athletic Club in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Feb 2026Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Athletic Club
Aug 2025Athletic Club 1–0 Rayo Vallecano
Apr 2025Athletic Club 3–1 Rayo Vallecano
Dec 2024Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Athletic Club
May 2024Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Athletic Club
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club?

Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Rayo Vallecano at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; nobody scored. Rayo Vallecano had 1 shots (1 on target) to Athletic Club's 1 (0).

What was the final score in Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club?

Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Athletic Club, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Rayo Vallecano 44%, the draw 27% and Athletic Club 29%.

What were the stats in Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club?

Full-time: Shots 1–1, Shots on target 1–0, Corners 1–2.

Did both teams score in Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club?

No. It finished 0–0, so Rayo Vallecano failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Rayo Vallecano or draw 71%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Both teams to score 54%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Rayo Vallecano form →Athletic Club form →