Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Rayo Vallecano at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; nobody scored. Rayo Vallecano had 1 shots (1 on target) to Athletic Club's 1 (0).
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Rayo Vallecano at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals; nobody scored. Rayo Vallecano had 1 shots (1 on target) to Athletic Club's 1 (0).
Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Athletic Club, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Rayo Vallecano 44%, the draw 27% and Athletic Club 29%.
Full-time: Shots 1–1, Shots on target 1–0, Corners 1–2.
No. It finished 0–0, so Rayo Vallecano failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Rayo Vallecano or draw 71%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Both teams to score 54%, it finished Missed.