Santa Clara vs Braga prediction — Liga Portugal · Sun 20 Sept · 18:00 UK

Liga Portugal · Sun 20 Sept · 18:00 UK
Santa Clara 30Draw 30Braga 40
Our call before kickoff
70%
Braga or draw
Landed
2.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
66%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
47%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
41%

How it finished

Santa Clara and Braga drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Braga at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 30%. It forecast 2.3 goals; nobody scored. Santa Clara had 10 shots (1 on target) to Braga's 8 (1), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.5.

Santa ClaraFull-time statsBraga
48%Possession52%
1.0Expected goals (xG)0.5
10Shots8
1Shots on target1
5Shots inside box5
1Big chances1
5Corners5
1Saves1
13Fouls13
2Offsides2
4Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callBraga or draw 70%Draw (30% called)
Total goals2.30
Both teams to score47%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Santa ClaraBraga
1.1
Goals+0.2
1.3
6.4
Shots+0.3
6.7
2.3
On target+1.0
3.3
2.4
Corners+0.5
2.9
Santa ClaraBraga
0.4
Goals+0.1
0.5
3.1
Shots+0.1
3.1
1.0
On target+0.4
1.4
1.1
Corners+0.2
1.4
Santa ClaraBraga
0.7
Goals+0.1
0.8
3.3
Shots+0.3
3.7
1.3
On target+0.6
1.9
1.3
Corners+0.3
1.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals80%
Braga to score71%
Over 1.5 goals67%
Santa Clara to score65%

First half — what we expected

Santa Clara
35%
to score before half-time
Braga
47%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%

Santa ClaraBraga
3.11st-half shots3.1
1.01st-half shots on target1.4
1.11st-half corners1.4

First-half chances

74%Chance of 2+ shots73%
37%Chance of 4+ shots36%
27%Chance of 2+ shots on target40%
30%Chance of 2+ corners37%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Santa Clara3.13.3
Shots · Braga3.13.7
Shots on target · Santa Clara1.01.3
Shots on target · Braga1.41.9
Corners · Santa Clara1.11.3
Corners · Braga1.41.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Santa Clara 1 · Draws 1 · Braga 3
Braga in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Apr 2026Santa Clara 2–1 Braga
Dec 2025Braga 1–0 Santa Clara
Oct 2025Braga 5–0 Santa Clara
May 2025Braga 1–1 Santa Clara
Dec 2024Santa Clara 0–2 Braga
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Santa Clara vs Braga?

Santa Clara and Braga drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Braga at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 30%. It forecast 2.3 goals; nobody scored. Santa Clara had 10 shots (1 on target) to Braga's 8 (1), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Santa Clara vs Braga?

Santa Clara 0–0 Braga, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Santa Clara 30%, the draw 30% and Braga 40%.

What were the stats in Santa Clara vs Braga?

Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.5, Shots 10–8, Shots on target 1–1, Shots inside box 5–5, Big chances 1–1, Corners 5–5, Saves 1–1, Fouls 13–13, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 4–3.

Did both teams score in Santa Clara vs Braga?

No. It finished 0–0, so Santa Clara failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Santa Clara vs Braga right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Braga or draw 70%, it finished Draw (30% called); Total goals — we said 2.3, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 47%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
All fixtures & results →Santa Clara form →Braga form →