Santa Clara and Braga drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Braga at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 30%. It forecast 2.3 goals; nobody scored. Santa Clara had 10 shots (1 on target) to Braga's 8 (1), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Santa Clara and Braga drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Braga at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 30%. It forecast 2.3 goals; nobody scored. Santa Clara had 10 shots (1 on target) to Braga's 8 (1), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.5.
Santa Clara 0–0 Braga, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Santa Clara 30%, the draw 30% and Braga 40%.
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.5, Shots 10–8, Shots on target 1–1, Shots inside box 5–5, Big chances 1–1, Corners 5–5, Saves 1–1, Fouls 13–13, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 4–3.
No. It finished 0–0, so Santa Clara failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Braga or draw 70%, it finished Draw (30% called); Total goals — we said 2.3, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 47%, it finished No.