Sassuolo vs Torino prediction — Serie A · Sat 29 Aug · 17:30 UK

Serie A · Sat 29 Aug · 17:30 UK
Sassuolo 42Draw 27Torino 32
Our call before kickoff
68%
Sassuolo or draw
Landed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
71%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
53%

How it finished

Sassuolo beat Torino 2–1. Bawler's model had Sassuolo in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Sassuolo had 19 shots (7 on target) to Torino's 10 (4), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.2, so Torino created the better chances and still lost the game.

SassuoloFull-time statsTorino
46%Possession54%
1.1Expected goals (xG)1.2
19Shots10
7Shots on target4
11Shots inside box8
1Big chances3
4Corners3
3Saves5
12Fouls9
5Offsides0
3Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callSassuolo or draw 68%Sassuolo won (42% called)
Total goals2.83
Both teams to score57%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 77%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

SassuoloTorino
1.5
Goals+0.2
1.3
13.4
Shots+0.4
13.0
4.6
On target+0.1
4.5
4.7
Corners+0.1
4.6
SassuoloTorino
0.6
Goals+0.3
0.3
6.3
Shots+0.3
6.0
2.3
On target+0.3
2.0
2.2
Corners
2.2
SassuoloTorino
0.9
Goals
1.0
7.2
Shots+0.1
7.1
2.3
On target+0.2
2.5
2.5
Corners
2.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Sassuolo to score78%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Torino to score73%
Under 3.5 goals69%

First half — what we expected

Sassuolo
57%
to score before half-time
Torino
32%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%

SassuoloTorino
6.31st-half shots6.0
2.31st-half shots on target2.0
2.21st-half corners2.2

First-half chances

68%Chance of 5+ shots65%
43%Chance of 7+ shots39%
87%Chance of 1+ shots on target83%
40%Chance of 3+ shots on target33%
84%Chance of 1+ corners84%
36%Chance of 3+ corners36%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Sassuolo6.37.2
Shots · Torino6.07.1
Shots on target · Sassuolo2.32.3
Shots on target · Torino2.02.5
Corners · Sassuolo2.22.5
Corners · Torino2.22.4
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Sassuolo 0 · Draws 2 · Torino 3
Torino in their league tableLower half

Head to head

May 2026Torino 2–1 Sassuolo
Dec 2025Sassuolo 0–1 Torino
Feb 2024Sassuolo 1–1 Torino
Nov 2023Torino 2–1 Sassuolo
Apr 2023Sassuolo 1–1 Torino
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Sassuolo vs Torino?

Sassuolo beat Torino 2–1. Bawler's model had Sassuolo in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Sassuolo had 19 shots (7 on target) to Torino's 10 (4), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.2, so Torino created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Sassuolo vs Torino?

Sassuolo 2–1 Torino, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sassuolo 42%, the draw 27% and Torino 32%.

What were the stats in Sassuolo vs Torino?

Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.2, Shots 19–10, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 11–8, Big chances 1–3, Corners 4–3, Saves 3–5, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 5–0, Yellow cards 3–1.

Did both teams score in Sassuolo vs Torino?

Yes — both Sassuolo and Torino scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Sassuolo vs Torino right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sassuolo or draw 68%, it finished Sassuolo won (42% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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