Sassuolo beat Torino 2–1. Bawler's model had Sassuolo in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Sassuolo had 19 shots (7 on target) to Torino's 10 (4), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.2, so Torino created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Sassuolo beat Torino 2–1. Bawler's model had Sassuolo in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals and the match produced 3. Sassuolo had 19 shots (7 on target) to Torino's 10 (4), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.2, so Torino created the better chances and still lost the game.
Sassuolo 2–1 Torino, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sassuolo 42%, the draw 27% and Torino 32%.
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.2, Shots 19–10, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 11–8, Big chances 1–3, Corners 4–3, Saves 3–5, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 5–0, Yellow cards 3–1.
Yes — both Sassuolo and Torino scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sassuolo or draw 68%, it finished Sassuolo won (42% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.