How it finished
SC Paderborn 07 beat TSG Hoffenheim 3–1. Bawler's model favoured TSG Hoffenheim at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave SC Paderborn 07 36%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. SC Paderborn 07 had 13 shots (5 on target) to TSG Hoffenheim's 22 (2), with 34% of the ball against 66%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 1.4, so TSG Hoffenheim created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won SC Paderborn 07 vs TSG Hoffenheim?
SC Paderborn 07 beat TSG Hoffenheim 3–1. Bawler's model favoured TSG Hoffenheim at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave SC Paderborn 07 36%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. SC Paderborn 07 had 13 shots (5 on target) to TSG Hoffenheim's 22 (2), with 34% of the ball against 66%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 1.4, so TSG Hoffenheim created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in SC Paderborn 07 vs TSG Hoffenheim?
SC Paderborn 07 3–1 TSG Hoffenheim, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with SC Paderborn 07 36%, the draw 25% and TSG Hoffenheim 39%.
What were the stats in SC Paderborn 07 vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Full-time: Possession 34%–66%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.4, Shots 13–22, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 7–15, Big chances 2–2, Corners 6–5, Saves 1–2, Fouls 6–14, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in SC Paderborn 07 vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Yes — both SC Paderborn 07 and TSG Hoffenheim scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs TSG Hoffenheim right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said TSG Hoffenheim or draw 64%, it finished SC Paderborn 07 won (36% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.