Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich prediction — Bundesliga · Sat 5 Sept · 17:30 UK

Bundesliga · Sat 5 Sept · 17:30 UK
Schalke 04 12Draw 15Bayern Munich 73
Our call before kickoff
73%
Bayern Munich to win
Missed
4.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
78%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
64%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
76%

How it finished

Schalke 04 and Bayern Munich drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Bayern Munich at 73% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 15%. It forecast 4.0 goals; nobody scored. Schalke 04 had 4 shots (1 on target) to Bayern Munich's 15 (5), with 17% of the ball against 83%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 2.1.

Schalke 04Full-time statsBayern Munich
17%Possession83%
0.2Expected goals (xG)2.1
4Shots15
1Shots on target5
3Shots inside box10
0Big chances6
0Corners11
5Saves1
5Fouls12
0Offsides1
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callBayern Munich to win 73%Draw (15% called)
Total goals4.00
Both teams to score64%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Schalke 04Bayern Munich
1.1
Goals+1.8
2.9
7.8
Shots+9.5
17.3
4.9
On target+3.6
8.5
Schalke 04Bayern Munich
0.4
Goals+0.3
0.6
3.5
Shots+4.0
7.5
2.2
On target+1.3
3.5
Schalke 04Bayern Munich
0.7
Goals+1.5
2.2
4.2
Shots+5.6
9.8
2.7
On target+2.3
5.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Bayern Munich to score94%
Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Schalke 04 to score67%

First half — what we expected

Schalke 04
39%
to score before half-time
Bayern Munich
64%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%

Schalke 04Bayern Munich
3.51st-half shots7.5
2.21st-half shots on target3.5
0.11st-half corners2.6

First-half chances

19%Chance of 6+ shots69%
<10%Chance of 8+ shots46%
61%Chance of 2+ shots on target83%
20%Chance of 4+ shots on target45%
<10%Chance of 2+ corners68%
<10%Chance of 4+ corners27%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Schalke 043.54.2
Shots · Bayern Munich7.59.8
Shots on target · Schalke 042.22.7
Shots on target · Bayern Munich3.55.0
Corners · Schalke 040.10.1
Corners · Bayern Munich2.62.9
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-1.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Schalke 04 0 · Draws 0 · Bayern Munich 5
Bayern Munich in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

May 2023Bayern München 6–0 Schalke 04
Nov 2022Schalke 04 0–2 Bayern München
Jan 2021Schalke 04 0–4 Bayern München
Sept 2020Bayern München 8–0 Schalke 04
Mar 2020Schalke 04 0–1 Bayern München
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich?

Schalke 04 and Bayern Munich drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Bayern Munich at 73% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 15%. It forecast 4.0 goals; nobody scored. Schalke 04 had 4 shots (1 on target) to Bayern Munich's 15 (5), with 17% of the ball against 83%. Expected goals finished 0.2 to 2.1.

What was the final score in Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich?

Schalke 04 0–0 Bayern Munich, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Schalke 04 12%, the draw 15% and Bayern Munich 73%.

What were the stats in Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich?

Full-time: Possession 17%–83%, Expected goals (xG) 0.2–2.1, Shots 4–15, Shots on target 1–5, Shots inside box 3–10, Big chances 0–6, Corners 0–11, Saves 5–1, Fouls 5–12, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich?

No. It finished 0–0, so Schalke 04 failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bayern Munich to win 73%, it finished Draw (15% called); Total goals — we said 4.0, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Bundesliga table →
All fixtures & results →Schalke 04 form →Bayern Munich form →