How it finished
Barcelona beat Sevilla 3–1. Bawler's model had Barcelona in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Sevilla had 7 shots (3 on target) to Barcelona's 24 (7), with 31% of the ball against 69%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 3.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Sevilla vs Barcelona?
Barcelona beat Sevilla 3–1. Bawler's model had Barcelona in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Sevilla had 7 shots (3 on target) to Barcelona's 24 (7), with 31% of the ball against 69%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 3.3.
What was the final score in Sevilla vs Barcelona?
Sevilla 1–3 Barcelona, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sevilla 17%, the draw 21% and Barcelona 61%.
What were the stats in Sevilla vs Barcelona?
Full-time: Possession 31%–69%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–3.3, Shots 7–24, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 3–12, Big chances 1–6, Corners 1–3, Saves 5–2, Fouls 10–11, Offsides 5–2, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Sevilla vs Barcelona?
Yes — both Sevilla and Barcelona scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Sevilla vs Barcelona right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Barcelona to win 61%, it finished Barcelona won (61% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes.