Portugal: Primeira LigaSaturday 22 Aug, 19:30 UTC

Sporting CP vAlverca

Most likely scoreline
2–0
13% of the time · 2.92 goals expected
Sporting CP 69%Draw 22%Alverca 9%
How we get there
Sporting CPstepAlverca
2.21Base xG · rolling 26-match0.72
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
2.21Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.72

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Sporting average 5.9 corners per game at home this season (24 competitive matches). Alverca average 4.4 corners per game away from home this season (18 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
5
4
1
1
12
9
3
1
2
13
9
3
1
3
10
7
2
1
4
5
4
1
5
2
2
1
6
1
1
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Sporting CP fixtures & form →Alverca fixtures & form →

Sporting vs Alverca — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 22 March 2026, Sporting have won 1, Alverca have won 0, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
22 March 2026Alverca 1–4 SportingPORTUGAL: Liga Portugal

The model's verdict for this fixture: Sporting 69% · draw 22% · Alverca 9%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Sporting predictions & form →Alverca predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.