Stade Rennais vs AJ Auxerre prediction — Ligue 1 · Sun 11 Oct · 16:15 UK

Ligue 1 · Sun 11 Oct · 16:15 UK
Stade Rennais 56Draw 23AJ Auxerre 21
Our call before kickoff
79%
Stade Rennais or draw
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
75%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
59%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
60%

How it finished

Stade Rennais beat AJ Auxerre 4–1. Bawler's model had Stade Rennais in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5.

What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callStade Rennais or draw 79%Stade Rennais won (56% called)
Total goals3.15
Both teams to score59%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 82%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Stade RennaisAJ Auxerre
2.0
Goals+0.8
1.2
Stade RennaisAJ Auxerre
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.4
Stade RennaisAJ Auxerre
1.4
Goals+0.6
0.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Stade Rennais to score86%
Over 1.5 goals82%
AJ Auxerre to score68%
Under 3.5 goals62%

First half — what we expected

Stade Rennais
58%
to score before half-time
AJ Auxerre
40%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Model inputs

Stade Rennais form (last 6)W W W D L W
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.8 / match
AJ Auxerre in their league tableBottom quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Stade Rennais vs AJ Auxerre?

Stade Rennais beat AJ Auxerre 4–1. Bawler's model had Stade Rennais in front at 56% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5.

What was the final score in Stade Rennais vs AJ Auxerre?

Stade Rennais 4–1 AJ Auxerre, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Stade Rennais 56%, the draw 23% and AJ Auxerre 21%.

Did both teams score in Stade Rennais vs AJ Auxerre?

Yes — both Stade Rennais and AJ Auxerre scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Stade Rennais vs AJ Auxerre right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Stade Rennais or draw 79%, it finished Stade Rennais won (56% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
All fixtures & results →Stade Rennais form →AJ Auxerre form →