How it finished
Strasbourg beat Lens 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Lens at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Strasbourg 36%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Strasbourg had 16 shots (7 on target) to Lens' 17 (7), with 51% of the ball against 49%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 2.9, so Lens created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Strasbourg vs Lens?
Strasbourg beat Lens 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Lens at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Strasbourg 36%. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Strasbourg had 16 shots (7 on target) to Lens' 17 (7), with 51% of the ball against 49%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 2.9, so Lens created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Strasbourg vs Lens?
Strasbourg 2–1 Lens, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Strasbourg 36%, the draw 25% and Lens 39%.
What were the stats in Strasbourg vs Lens?
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–2.9, Shots 16–17, Shots on target 7–7, Shots inside box 12–12, Big chances 3–5, Corners 3–6, Saves 6–5, Fouls 10–11, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Strasbourg vs Lens?
Yes — both Strasbourg and Lens scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Strasbourg vs Lens right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lens or draw 64%, it finished Strasbourg won (36% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.