How it finished
Brighton & Hove Albion beat Sunderland 2–0. Bawler's model had Brighton & Hove Albion in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Sunderland had 12 shots (3 on target) to Brighton & Hove Albion's 13 (4), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 58%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Brighton & Hove Albion beat Sunderland 2–0. Bawler's model had Brighton & Hove Albion in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Sunderland had 12 shots (3 on target) to Brighton & Hove Albion's 13 (4), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Sunderland 0–2 Brighton & Hove Albion, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sunderland 32%, the draw 26% and Brighton & Hove Albion 42%.
What were the stats in Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.1, Shots 12–13, Shots on target 3–4, Shots inside box 4–6, Big chances 1–5, Corners 7–5, Saves 2–3, Fouls 8–12, Offsides 5–0, Yellow cards 0–1, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
No. It finished 0–2, so Sunderland failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Brighton & Hove Albion or draw 68%, it finished Brighton & Hove Albion won (42% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.