Torino vs AS Roma prediction — Serie A · Mon 14 Sept · 17:30 UK

Serie A · Mon 14 Sept · 17:30 UK
Torino 25Draw 26AS Roma 49
Our call before kickoff
75%
AS Roma or draw
Landed
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
75%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
54%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
52%

How it finished

AS Roma beat Torino 2–0. Bawler's model had AS Roma in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Torino had 8 shots (3 on target) to AS Roma's 14 (5), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.9.

TorinoFull-time statsAS Roma
52%Possession48%
0.8Expected goals (xG)1.9
8Shots14
3Shots on target5
4Shots inside box12
3Big chances3
1Corners8
3Saves3
7Fouls20
0Offsides2
0Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAS Roma or draw 75%AS Roma won (49% called)
Total goals2.72
Both teams to score54%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 76%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 52%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

TorinoAS Roma
1.1
Goals+0.5
1.6
10.4
Shots+4.1
14.4
3.5
On target+1.5
5.0
3.7
Corners+1.2
4.9
TorinoAS Roma
0.4
Goals+0.2
0.6
4.4
Shots+2.6
6.9
1.4
On target+1.0
2.4
1.7
Corners+0.6
2.3
TorinoAS Roma
0.7
Goals+0.3
1.0
6.0
Shots+1.5
7.5
2.0
On target+0.6
2.6
2.0
Corners+0.6
2.6

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
AS Roma to score81%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals70%
Torino to score67%

First half — what we expected

Torino
38%
to score before half-time
AS Roma
59%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%

TorinoAS Roma
4.41st-half shots6.9
1.41st-half shots on target2.4
1.71st-half corners2.3

First-half chances

30%Chance of 6+ shots63%
12%Chance of 8+ shots39%
72%Chance of 1+ shots on target88%
19%Chance of 3+ shots on target42%
77%Chance of 1+ corners86%
26%Chance of 3+ corners39%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Torino4.46.0
Shots · AS Roma6.97.5
Shots on target · Torino1.42.0
Shots on target · AS Roma2.42.6
Corners · Torino1.72.0
Corners · AS Roma2.32.6
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.5 / match
AS Roma in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Torino vs AS Roma?

AS Roma beat Torino 2–0. Bawler's model had AS Roma in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Torino had 8 shots (3 on target) to AS Roma's 14 (5), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.9.

What was the final score in Torino vs AS Roma?

Torino 0–2 AS Roma, played on 14 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Torino 25%, the draw 26% and AS Roma 49%.

What were the stats in Torino vs AS Roma?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.9, Shots 8–14, Shots on target 3–5, Shots inside box 4–12, Big chances 3–3, Corners 1–8, Saves 3–3, Fouls 7–20, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 0–2.

Did both teams score in Torino vs AS Roma?

No. It finished 0–2, so Torino failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Torino vs AS Roma right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AS Roma or draw 75%, it finished AS Roma won (49% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Torino form →AS Roma form →