How it finished
Toulouse beat Le Havre AC 3–2. Bawler's model had Toulouse in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 5. Toulouse had 14 shots (5 on target) to Le Havre AC's 18 (7), with 53% of the ball against 47%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 2.5, so Le Havre AC created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 58%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Toulouse vs Le Havre AC?
Toulouse beat Le Havre AC 3–2. Bawler's model had Toulouse in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 5. Toulouse had 14 shots (5 on target) to Le Havre AC's 18 (7), with 53% of the ball against 47%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 2.5, so Le Havre AC created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Toulouse vs Le Havre AC?
Toulouse 3–2 Le Havre AC, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Toulouse 54%, the draw 25% and Le Havre AC 21%.
What were the stats in Toulouse vs Le Havre AC?
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–2.5, Shots 14–18, Shots on target 5–7, Shots inside box 10–12, Big chances 5–3, Corners 6–7, Saves 5–2, Fouls 17–15, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 3–1.
Did both teams score in Toulouse vs Le Havre AC?
Yes — both Toulouse and Le Havre AC scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Toulouse vs Le Havre AC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Toulouse or draw 79%, it finished Toulouse won (54% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes.