How it finished
Marseille beat Troyes 2–0. Bawler's model had Marseille in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 2 were scored. Troyes had 15 shots (3 on target) to Marseille's 5 (2), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 87%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Troyes vs Marseille?
Marseille beat Troyes 2–0. Bawler's model had Marseille in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 2 were scored. Troyes had 15 shots (3 on target) to Marseille's 5 (2), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.3.
What was the final score in Troyes vs Marseille?
Troyes 0–2 Marseille, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Troyes 30%, the draw 24% and Marseille 46%.
What were the stats in Troyes vs Marseille?
Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.3, Shots 15–5, Shots on target 3–2, Shots inside box 13–5, Big chances 2–2, Corners 6–3, Saves 0–3, Fouls 14–15, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 4–1.
Did both teams score in Troyes vs Marseille?
No. It finished 0–2, so Troyes failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Troyes vs Marseille right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Marseille or draw 70%, it finished Marseille won (46% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed.