How it finished
Hamburg SV beat TSG Hoffenheim 3–2. Bawler's model favoured TSG Hoffenheim at 67% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Hamburg SV 15%. It forecast 3.7 goals; the match produced 5. TSG Hoffenheim had 17 shots (4 on target) to Hamburg SV's 14 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 81%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburg SV?
Hamburg SV beat TSG Hoffenheim 3–2. Bawler's model favoured TSG Hoffenheim at 67% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Hamburg SV 15%. It forecast 3.7 goals; the match produced 5. TSG Hoffenheim had 17 shots (4 on target) to Hamburg SV's 14 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.1.
What was the final score in TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburg SV?
TSG Hoffenheim 2–3 Hamburg SV, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with TSG Hoffenheim 67%, the draw 18% and Hamburg SV 15%.
What were the stats in TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburg SV?
Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.1, Shots 17–14, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 10–9, Big chances 0–3, Corners 7–3, Saves 1–3, Fouls 11–15, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 3–0, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburg SV?
Yes — both TSG Hoffenheim and Hamburg SV scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburg SV right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said TSG Hoffenheim to win 67%, it finished Hamburg SV won (15% called); Total goals — we said 3.7, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.