VfB Stuttgart vs FC Cologne prediction — Bundesliga · Fri 4 Sept · 19:30 UK

Bundesliga · Fri 4 Sept · 19:30 UK
VfB Stuttgart 54Draw 23FC Cologne 24
Our call before kickoff
76%
VfB Stuttgart or draw
Landed
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 4–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
77%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
63%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
64%

How it finished

VfB Stuttgart beat FC Cologne 4–1. Bawler's model had VfB Stuttgart in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 5. VfB Stuttgart had 22 shots (8 on target) to FC Cologne's 18 (5), with 58% of the ball against 42%.

VfB StuttgartFull-time statsFC Cologne
58%Possession42%
22Shots18
8Shots on target5
10Corners8
3Saves4
5Fouls6
1Offsides0
1Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callVfB Stuttgart or draw 76%VfB Stuttgart won (54% called)
Total goals3.35
Both teams to score63%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 84%Landed
Second pickVfB Stuttgart to win 54%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

VfB StuttgartFC Cologne
2.0
Goals+0.7
1.3
VfB StuttgartFC Cologne
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.4
VfB StuttgartFC Cologne
1.4
Goals+0.6
0.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
VfB Stuttgart to score87%
Over 1.5 goals84%
FC Cologne to score72%
Over 2.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

VfB Stuttgart
59%
to score before half-time
FC Cologne
43%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.7 / match
FC Cologne in their league tableLower half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won VfB Stuttgart vs FC Cologne?

VfB Stuttgart beat FC Cologne 4–1. Bawler's model had VfB Stuttgart in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 5. VfB Stuttgart had 22 shots (8 on target) to FC Cologne's 18 (5), with 58% of the ball against 42%.

What was the final score in VfB Stuttgart vs FC Cologne?

VfB Stuttgart 4–1 FC Cologne, played on 04 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with VfB Stuttgart 54%, the draw 23% and FC Cologne 24%.

What were the stats in VfB Stuttgart vs FC Cologne?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Shots 22–18, Shots on target 8–5, Corners 10–8, Saves 3–4, Fouls 5–6, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in VfB Stuttgart vs FC Cologne?

Yes — both VfB Stuttgart and FC Cologne scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs FC Cologne right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said VfB Stuttgart or draw 76%, it finished VfB Stuttgart won (54% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said VfB Stuttgart to win 54%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Bundesliga table →
All fixtures & results →VfB Stuttgart form →FC Cologne form →