How it finished
Wrexham beat Southampton 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Southampton at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Wrexham 32%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Wrexham had 8 shots (4 on target) to Southampton's 19 (7), with 33% of the ball against 67%. On expected goals it was 0.6 to 1.6, so Southampton created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Wrexham vs Southampton?
Wrexham beat Southampton 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Southampton at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Wrexham 32%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Wrexham had 8 shots (4 on target) to Southampton's 19 (7), with 33% of the ball against 67%. On expected goals it was 0.6 to 1.6, so Southampton created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Wrexham vs Southampton?
Wrexham 2–1 Southampton, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Wrexham 32%, the draw 26% and Southampton 42%.
What were the stats in Wrexham vs Southampton?
Full-time: Possession 33%–67%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.6, Shots 8–19, Shots on target 4–7, Shots inside box 6–12, Big chances 1–3, Corners 2–3, Saves 6–3, Fouls 8–7, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–4.
Did both teams score in Wrexham vs Southampton?
Yes — both Wrexham and Southampton scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Wrexham vs Southampton right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Southampton or draw 68%, it finished Wrexham won (32% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.