Austin
Austin operate as a blunt attacking force (1.21 xG for) defending a porous backline (1.62 xG against), a profile that leaves them vulnerable to clinical opponents. Their recent sequence of four draws and two losses across six matches reflects this tension—creative enough to avoid defeat, fragile enough to concede consistently. With no fixtures currently in window, the model remains primed for their next assignment. Bawler's Banker picks have converted at 100% on Austin's matches, a streak worth monitoring when sides of this defensive profile return to action.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Austin were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the USA: MLS average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Austin are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals Austin actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Austin's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.
When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Austin fixture, the model lands 7 out of 7 (100%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.
How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Austin fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Austin matches.