How it finished
Austin FC and Philadelphia Union drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Philadelphia Union at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Austin FC had 12 shots (6 on target) to Philadelphia Union's 9 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Austin FC and Philadelphia Union drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Philadelphia Union at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Austin FC had 12 shots (6 on target) to Philadelphia Union's 9 (3), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.0.
What was the final score in Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Austin FC 1–1 Philadelphia Union, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Austin FC 26%, the draw 25% and Philadelphia Union 49%.
What were the stats in Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.0, Shots 12–9, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 10–6, Big chances 4–2, Corners 6–6, Saves 2–5, Fouls 8–13, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Yes — both Austin FC and Philadelphia Union scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Philadelphia Union or draw 74%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.