USA: MLSSaturday 22 Aug, 23:30 UTC

CF Montréal vLA Galaxy

Most likely scoreline
1–1
11% of the time · 3.03 goals expected
CF Montréal 41%Draw 29%LA Galaxy 29%
How we get there
CF MontréalstepLA Galaxy
1.65Base xG · rolling 26-match1.37
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.65Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.37

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

CF Montréal average 5.8 corners per game at home this season (24 competitive matches). LA Galaxy average 5.0 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
5
7
5
2
1
1
8
11
8
3
1
2
7
9
6
3
1
3
4
5
3
2
1
4
2
2
1
1
5
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

CF Montréal fixtures & form →LA Galaxy fixtures & form →

CF Montréal vs LA Galaxy — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between CF Montréal and LA Galaxy — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: CF Montréal 41% · draw 29% · LA Galaxy 29%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

CF Montréal predictions & form →LA Galaxy predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.