How it finished
CF Montréal and LA Galaxy drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured CF Montréal at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. CF Montréal had 15 shots (6 on target) to LA Galaxy's 9 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won CF Montréal vs LA Galaxy?
CF Montréal and LA Galaxy drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured CF Montréal at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 4. CF Montréal had 15 shots (6 on target) to LA Galaxy's 9 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.2.
What was the final score in CF Montréal vs LA Galaxy?
CF Montréal 2–2 LA Galaxy, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with CF Montréal 44%, the draw 26% and LA Galaxy 31%.
What were the stats in CF Montréal vs LA Galaxy?
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.2, Shots 15–9, Shots on target 6–5, Shots inside box 9–8, Big chances 2–1, Corners 6–5, Saves 3–4, Fouls 9–8, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 2–0, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in CF Montréal vs LA Galaxy?
Yes — both CF Montréal and LA Galaxy scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for CF Montréal vs LA Galaxy right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said CF Montréal or draw 69%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.