How it finished
Toronto FC and Charlotte FC drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Charlotte FC at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 6. Toronto FC had 16 shots (6 on target) to Charlotte FC's 16 (10), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC?
Toronto FC and Charlotte FC drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Charlotte FC at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 6. Toronto FC had 16 shots (6 on target) to Charlotte FC's 16 (10), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.4.
What was the final score in Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC?
Toronto FC 3–3 Charlotte FC, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Toronto FC 34%, the draw 28% and Charlotte FC 38%.
What were the stats in Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC?
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.4, Shots 16–16, Shots on target 6–10, Shots inside box 10–11, Big chances 1–4, Corners 6–5, Saves 7–3, Fouls 10–10, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–0, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC?
Yes — both Toronto FC and Charlotte FC scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Toronto FC vs Charlotte FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Charlotte FC or draw 66%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 73%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.