USA: MLSWednesday 19 Aug, 23:30 UTC

Toronto FC vCharlotte FC

Most likely scoreline
1–1
12% of the time · 2.72 goals expected
Toronto FC 40%Draw 28%Charlotte FC 33%
How we get there
Toronto FCstepCharlotte FC
1.47Base xG · rolling 26-match1.25
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.47Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.25

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Toronto average 4.4 corners per game at home this season (22 competitive matches). Charlotte average 4.1 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
7
8
5
2
1
1
10
12
8
3
1
2
7
9
6
2
1
3
4
4
3
1
4
1
2
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Toronto FC fixtures & form →Charlotte FC fixtures & form →

Toronto vs Charlotte — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 16 May 2026, Toronto have won 0, Charlotte have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
16 May 2026Charlotte 3–1 TorontoUSA: MLS

The model's verdict for this fixture: Toronto 40% · draw 28% · Charlotte 33%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Toronto predictions & form →Charlotte predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.