How it finished
Charlotte FC beat D.C. United 3–1. Bawler's model had Charlotte FC in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Charlotte FC had 11 shots (5 on target) to D.C. United's 17 (5), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Charlotte FC vs D.C. United?
Charlotte FC beat D.C. United 3–1. Bawler's model had Charlotte FC in front at 51% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Charlotte FC had 11 shots (5 on target) to D.C. United's 17 (5), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.3.
What was the final score in Charlotte FC vs D.C. United?
Charlotte FC 3–1 D.C. United, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Charlotte FC 51%, the draw 25% and D.C. United 23%.
What were the stats in Charlotte FC vs D.C. United?
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.3, Shots 11–17, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 9–11, Big chances 5–2, Corners 4–9, Saves 4–2, Fouls 15–11, Offsides 4–1, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in Charlotte FC vs D.C. United?
Yes — both Charlotte FC and D.C. United scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Charlotte FC vs D.C. United right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Charlotte FC or draw 77%, it finished Charlotte FC won (51% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.