Bawler / USA: MLS / Nashville
Team profile

Nashville Prediction

Per-game numbers from 53 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
12.8
a game
11.1 faced
On target
5.2
a game
4.1 faced
Goals
1.7 – 1.3
scored – conceded
a game, 53 matches
Next match
34%
Nashville win chance
at New York Red Bulls · Wed 19 Aug 23:30

Nashville prediction: for Nashville's next match — New York Red Bulls vs Nashville on Wednesday 19 Aug, 23:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it New York Red Bulls are favoured (37%).

Nashville defend well, conceding 1.04 expected goals per game — below the MLS average of 1.45. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 5. Next up is a trip to Red Bull New York, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 34%.

Nashville in numbers

53 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.7
Goals · per game
let in 1.3
Home 2.2Away 1.2
5.2
Corners · per game
give up 3.7
Home 5.6Away 4.7
12.8
Shots · per game
faced 11.1
Home 14.4Away 11.1
5.2
On target · per game
faced 4.1
Home 6.2Away 4.2
Last 6 games
16 Aug
4-1
vs Inter Miami
10-4
13 Aug
1-2
@ Monterrey
3-11
10 Aug
4-1
vs Atl. San Luis
3-3
06 Aug
0-1
vs Club Leon
4-5
01 Aug
2-2
@ D.C. United
3-8
25 Jul
0-1
@ Orlando City
-

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs New York Red Bulls · Wednesday 19 Aug, 23:30 UTC

Win
34%
Nashville
Draw
29%
Loss
37%
Opponent
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Nashville compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
1.59
Above average
Goals against
1.04
Tighter than most
Record
7W 4D 2L
13 settled
Real goals
1.8 – 0.7
For / against, per match
Scored1.59
Conceded1.04

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.04 xG per match · -0.41 vs league average of 1.45.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 83% of the time on Nashville fixtures (5/6).

How Bawler has done on Nashville

62%
of high-confidence calls correct — 8 of 13
Goals (Over/Under)50%3/6
Result83%5/6

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Later fixtures

Sun 23 Augvs Columbus Crew

Recent matches (last 10)

Sun 16 Augvs Inter Miami CF
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 02 Aug@ D.C. United
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 26 Jul@ Orlando City SC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Thu 23 Julvs CF Montréal
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 18 Julvs Atlanta United FC
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 24 Mayvs New York City FC
High confidence: Over 2.5 Goals
Thu 14 May@ New England Revolution
High confidence: X2
Sun 10 Mayvs D.C. United
High confidence: BTTS No
Sun 03 May@ Philadelphia Union
High confidence: X2
Sun 19 Apr@ Atlanta Utd
High confidence: X2

Transfer activity

INElias SaadLWfrom AugsburgLoan
INReed Baker-WhitingLBfrom Seattle Sounders FC€875k
INFamara CamaraCMfrom RanheimUndisclosed
INThomas WilliamsCBfrom Orlando CityFree transfer
OUTIsaiah LeFloreLBto Tampa Bay RowdiesLoan
OUTJulian GainesRBto Huntsville CityFree transfer
OUTWyatt MeyerCBto Sporting Kansas CityFree transfer
OUTAdem SipicSTto GefleLoan
OUTAdem SipicSTto Eintracht BraunschweigLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Nashville and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly