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Bawler / USA: MLS / Nashville
Nashville crest

Nashville

USA: MLS

Nashville operate as a controlled attacking side with clinical finishing—generating just 1.65 xG per match whilst conceding only 0.91—suggesting a team that creates fewer chances but converts them efficiently in a defensively compact setup. Recent form shows resilience across seven fixtures (3W-3D-1L), with the most recent sequence demonstrating consistency rather than volatility. With no imminent fixture in the window, focus shifts to their underlying profile: the xG differential of +0.74 per match indicates sustainable outperformance if current shot quality holds. Bawler's 71% banker hit rate on Nashville matches reflects model alignment with their pragmatic style.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.63+0.18 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)0.940.49 vs league
◇ = USA: MLS average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Nashville were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the USA: MLS average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Nashville are above average there.

> xG performance · last 8 matches
012345@ Inter Miami: actual 1, xG 1.44vs Orlando City: actual 5, xG 2.42@ Chicago Fire: actual 0, xG 1.25@ Atlanta Utd: actual 2, xG 2.07@ Philadelphia Union: actual 0, xG 2.13vs D.C. United: actual 2, xG 0.91@ New England Revolution: actual 3, xG 1.29vs New York City: actual 2, xG 1.53@Inter Orland@Chicag@Atlant@PhiladD.C. U@New EnNew Yo
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate +2.0 goals vs xG (+0.24/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Nashville actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.63 xG per match · +0.18 above the USA: MLS average of 1.45.
Solid defensively
Conceding 0.94 xG per match · -0.49 vs league average of 1.43.
Bawler's edge: Result
Banker picks in this market land 83% of the time on Nashville fixtures (5/6).
> Form · last 5
Overall: 4W / 3D / 1L · Avg goals 1.9 for, 0.6 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Nashville's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
8
8 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.63
per match
Avg xG Conceded
0.94
per match
Banker Hit Rate
75%
6/8 picks
> Bawler's Banker picks on Nashville matches
75%
hit rate over 8 picks

When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Nashville fixture, the model lands 6 out of 8 (75%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

> Recent matches (last 8)

> More from Bawler