USA: MLSSunday 23 Aug, 00:30 UTC

Nashville SC vColumbus Crew

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Nashville SC 41%Draw 33%Columbus Crew 26%
How we get there
Nashville SCstepColumbus Crew
1.41Base xG · rolling 26-match1.09
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.41Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.09

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Nashville average 5.6 corners per game at home this season (26 competitive matches). Columbus Crew average 4.8 corners per game away from home this season (26 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
12
13
7
2
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Nashville SC fixtures & form →Columbus Crew fixtures & form →

Nashville vs Columbus Crew — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Nashville and Columbus Crew — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Nashville 41% · draw 33% · Columbus Crew 26%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Nashville predictions & form →Columbus Crew predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.