Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew prediction — MLS · Sun 23 Aug · 01:30 UK

MLS · Sun 23 Aug · 01:30 UK
Nashville SC 47Draw 27Columbus Crew 26
Our call before kickoff
74%
Nashville SC or draw
Landed
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–2
Both teams score (before kick-off)
53%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
50%

How it finished

Nashville SC beat Columbus Crew 3–2. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 5. Nashville SC had 13 shots (6 on target) to Columbus Crew's 3 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 0.4.

Nashville SCFull-time statsColumbus Crew
58%Possession42%
0.8Expected goals (xG)0.4
13Shots3
6Shots on target2
8Shots inside box2
2Big chances1
8Corners1
0Saves3
8Fouls7
1Offsides2
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callNashville SC or draw 74%Nashville SC won (47% called)
Total goals2.75
Both teams to score53%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 75%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Nashville SCColumbus Crew
1.6
Goals+0.4
1.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Nashville SC to score79%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals72%
Columbus Crew to score67%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Nashville SC 2 · Draws 2 · Columbus Crew 1
Columbus Crew in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Mar 2026Columbus Crew 0–1 Nashville SC
Jul 2025Nashville SC 3–0 Columbus Crew
May 2025Columbus Crew 2–2 Nashville SC
Jul 2024Columbus Crew 2–0 Nashville SC
Mar 2024Nashville SC 2–2 Columbus Crew
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew?

Nashville SC beat Columbus Crew 3–2. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 5. Nashville SC had 13 shots (6 on target) to Columbus Crew's 3 (2), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 0.4.

What was the final score in Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew?

Nashville SC 3–2 Columbus Crew, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Nashville SC 47%, the draw 27% and Columbus Crew 26%.

What were the stats in Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–0.4, Shots 13–3, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 8–2, Big chances 2–1, Corners 8–1, Saves 0–3, Fouls 8–7, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew?

Yes — both Nashville SC and Columbus Crew scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Nashville SC or draw 74%, it finished Nashville SC won (47% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Nashville SC form →Columbus Crew form →