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Bawler / USA: MLS / Red Bull New York
Red Bull New York crest

Red Bull New York

USA: MLS

Red Bull New York operate as a pragmatic, ball-progressing side caught between offensive ambition and structural defensive fragility, evidenced by an xG output of 1.41 against a concerning 1.78 conceded per match. Recent form shows resilience—two wins and a draw across their last four settled fixtures—though this masks an underlying vulnerability to high-volume chances against. With no fixtures currently in the prediction window, Bawler's model remains calibrated to their underlying profile: efficient enough in attack to threaten most opponents, yet structurally exposed in transition. Our banker selections on RBNY have hit at 50%, suggesting consistent model alignment on their streakier matches rather than their baseline play.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.50+0.05 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.76+0.32 vs league
◇ = USA: MLS average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Red Bull New York were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the USA: MLS average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Red Bull New York are above average there.

> xG performance · last 5 matches
0123vs Dallas: actual 0, xG 1.79@ Chicago Fire: actual 3, xG 0.90vs Columbus Crew: actual 3, xG 1.33vs New York City: actual 1, xG 1.62@ Sporting Kansas City: actual 2, xG 1.89Dallas@ChicagColumbNew Yo@Sporti
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate +1.5 goals vs xG (+0.30/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Red Bull New York actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.76 xG per match · +0.32 vs league average of 1.43.
Bawler's edge: Goals (Over/Under)
Banker picks in this market land 100% of the time on Red Bull New York fixtures (3/3).
> Form · last 5
Overall: 3W / 1D / 1L · Avg goals 1.8 for, 1.4 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Red Bull New York's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
5
5 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.50
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.76
per match
Banker Hit Rate
60%
3/5 picks
> Bawler's Banker picks on Red Bull New York matches
60%
hit rate over 5 picks

When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Red Bull New York fixture, the model lands 3 out of 5 (60%). Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

> Bawler's record on Red Bull New York by market
Goals (Over/Under)100%3/3
Result0%0/2

How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Red Bull New York fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Red Bull New York matches.

> Recent matches (last 5)

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