How it finished
Red Bull New York and Chicago Fire FC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Chicago Fire FC at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 2 were scored. Red Bull New York had 11 shots (6 on target) to Chicago Fire FC's 10 (5), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Red Bull New York vs Chicago Fire FC?
Red Bull New York and Chicago Fire FC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Chicago Fire FC at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 2 were scored. Red Bull New York had 11 shots (6 on target) to Chicago Fire FC's 10 (5), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 0.9.
What was the final score in Red Bull New York vs Chicago Fire FC?
Red Bull New York 1–1 Chicago Fire FC, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Red Bull New York 34%, the draw 24% and Chicago Fire FC 42%.
What were the stats in Red Bull New York vs Chicago Fire FC?
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–0.9, Shots 11–10, Shots on target 6–5, Shots inside box 2–8, Big chances 1–1, Corners 3–2, Saves 4–5, Fouls 10–10, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Red Bull New York vs Chicago Fire FC?
Yes — both Red Bull New York and Chicago Fire FC scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Red Bull New York vs Chicago Fire FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Chicago Fire FC or draw 66%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 86%, it finished Landed.