USA: MLSSunday 23 Aug, 23:00 UTC

Atlanta United FC vSporting Kansas City

Most likely scoreline
2–1
10% of the time · 3.07 goals expected
Atlanta United FC 58%Draw 26%Sporting Kansas City 16%
How we get there
Atlanta United FCstepSporting Kansas City
2.05Base xG · rolling 26-match1.02
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
2.05Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.02

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Atlanta Utd average 5.1 corners per game at home this season (22 competitive matches). Sporting Kansas City average 3.6 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
5
5
2
1
1
10
10
5
2
2
10
10
5
2
3
7
7
3
1
4
3
3
2
1
5
1
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Atlanta United FC fixtures & form →Sporting Kansas City fixtures & form →

Atlanta Utd vs Sporting Kansas City — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Atlanta Utd and Sporting Kansas City — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Atlanta Utd 58% · draw 26% · Sporting Kansas City 16%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Atlanta Utd predictions & form →Sporting Kansas City predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.