How it finished
Atlanta United FC beat Sporting Kansas City 2–1. Bawler's model had Atlanta United FC in front at 59% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Atlanta United FC had 8 shots (3 on target) to Sporting Kansas City's 8 (1), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Atlanta United FC beat Sporting Kansas City 2–1. Bawler's model had Atlanta United FC in front at 59% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Atlanta United FC had 8 shots (3 on target) to Sporting Kansas City's 8 (1), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.7.
What was the final score in Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Atlanta United FC 2–1 Sporting Kansas City, played on 24 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atlanta United FC 59%, the draw 22% and Sporting Kansas City 19%.
What were the stats in Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–0.7, Shots 8–8, Shots on target 3–1, Shots inside box 7–5, Big chances 2–2, Corners 2–6, Saves 0–1, Fouls 8–13, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Yes — both Atlanta United FC and Sporting Kansas City scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Atlanta United FC or draw 81%, it finished Atlanta United FC won (59% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed.