AFC Bournemouth vs Everton prediction — Premier League · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK

Premier League · Sat 29 Aug · 15:00 UK
AFC Bournemouth 51Draw 24Everton 25
Our call before kickoff
75%
AFC Bournemouth or draw
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
73%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
60%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
60%

How it finished

AFC Bournemouth and Everton drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured AFC Bournemouth at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. AFC Bournemouth had 17 shots (5 on target) to Everton's 13 (7), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.7.

BournemouthFull-time statsEverton
58%Possession42%
2.1Expected goals (xG)1.7
17Shots13
5Shots on target7
13Shots inside box7
3Big chances3
10Corners7
5Saves4
11Fouls14
0Offsides1
3Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAFC Bournemouth or draw 75%Draw (24% called)
Total goals3.12
Both teams to score60%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 81%Landed
Second pickAFC Bournemouth to win 51%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

AFC BournemouthEverton
1.9
Goals+0.6
1.2
16.0
Shots+4.1
11.9
4.6
On target+0.5
4.1
6.4
Corners+1.6
4.8
AFC BournemouthEverton
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
7.2
Shots+1.8
5.4
2.2
On target+0.4
1.8
3.0
Corners+0.7
2.3
AFC BournemouthEverton
1.3
Goals+0.5
0.8
8.8
Shots+2.4
6.5
2.4
On target+0.1
2.3
3.4
Corners+0.8
2.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
AFC Bournemouth to score84%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Everton to score71%
Under 3.5 goals63%

First half — what we expected

AFC Bournemouth
54%
to score before half-time
Everton
41%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%

AFC BournemouthEverton
7.21st-half shots5.4
2.21st-half shots on target1.8
3.01st-half corners2.3

First-half chances

66%Chance of 6+ shots44%
42%Chance of 8+ shots22%
85%Chance of 1+ shots on target79%
37%Chance of 3+ shots on target27%
75%Chance of 2+ corners61%
35%Chance of 4+ corners21%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · AFC Bournemouth7.28.8
Shots · Everton5.46.5
Shots on target · AFC Bournemouth2.22.4
Shots on target · Everton1.82.3
Corners · AFC Bournemouth3.03.4
Corners · Everton2.32.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5AFC Bournemouth 4 · Draws 0 · Everton 1
Everton in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Feb 2026Everton 1–2 AFC Bournemouth
Dec 2025AFC Bournemouth 0–1 Everton
Jul 2025Everton 0–3 AFC Bournemouth
Feb 2025Everton 0–2 AFC Bournemouth
Jan 2025AFC Bournemouth 1–0 Everton
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won AFC Bournemouth vs Everton?

AFC Bournemouth and Everton drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured AFC Bournemouth at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. AFC Bournemouth had 17 shots (5 on target) to Everton's 13 (7), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 1.7.

What was the final score in AFC Bournemouth vs Everton?

AFC Bournemouth 1–1 Everton, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with AFC Bournemouth 51%, the draw 24% and Everton 25%.

What were the stats in AFC Bournemouth vs Everton?

Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–1.7, Shots 17–13, Shots on target 5–7, Shots inside box 13–7, Big chances 3–3, Corners 10–7, Saves 5–4, Fouls 11–14, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 3–2.

Did both teams score in AFC Bournemouth vs Everton?

Yes — both AFC Bournemouth and Everton scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs Everton right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AFC Bournemouth or draw 75%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said AFC Bournemouth to win 51%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →AFC Bournemouth form →Everton form →