How it finished
Liverpool beat AFC Bournemouth 1–0. Bawler's model favoured AFC Bournemouth at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Liverpool 34%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. AFC Bournemouth had 9 shots (2 on target) to Liverpool's 12 (3), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool?
Liverpool beat AFC Bournemouth 1–0. Bawler's model favoured AFC Bournemouth at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Liverpool 34%. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. AFC Bournemouth had 9 shots (2 on target) to Liverpool's 12 (3), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.6.
What was the final score in AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool?
AFC Bournemouth 0–1 Liverpool, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with AFC Bournemouth 41%, the draw 25% and Liverpool 34%.
What were the stats in AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool?
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.6, Shots 9–12, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 5–7, Big chances 1–1, Corners 3–3, Saves 2–2, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool?
No. It finished 0–1, so AFC Bournemouth failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AFC Bournemouth or draw 66%, it finished Liverpool won (34% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Missed.