Alanyaspor and Goztepe drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Goztepe at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Alanyaspor had 20 shots (4 on target) to Goztepe's 14 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Alanyaspor and Goztepe drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Goztepe at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Alanyaspor had 20 shots (4 on target) to Goztepe's 14 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.7.
Alanyaspor 2–2 Goztepe, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Alanyaspor 35%, the draw 28% and Goztepe 37%.
Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.7, Shots 20–14, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 16–10, Big chances 2–2, Corners 9–3, Saves 2–2, Fouls 8–10, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 2–2.
Yes — both Alanyaspor and Goztepe scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Goztepe or draw 65%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Landed.