Alanyaspor vs Goztepe prediction — Süper Lig · Sat 12 Sept · 18:00 UK

Süper Lig · Sat 12 Sept · 18:00 UK
Alanyaspor 35Draw 28Goztepe 37
Our call before kickoff
65%
Goztepe or draw
Landed
2.6
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
67%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
53%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
49%

How it finished

Alanyaspor and Goztepe drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Goztepe at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Alanyaspor had 20 shots (4 on target) to Goztepe's 14 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.7.

AlanyasporFull-time statsGoztepe
64%Possession36%
1.7Expected goals (xG)1.7
20Shots14
4Shots on target4
16Shots inside box10
2Big chances2
9Corners3
2Saves2
8Fouls10
1Offsides3
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callGoztepe or draw 65%Draw (28% called)
Total goals2.64
Both teams to score53%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 74%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

AlanyasporGoztepe
1.3
Goals+0.1
1.3
20.9
Shots+9.4
11.5
3.4
On target+1.5
4.9
7.1
Corners+1.6
5.4
AlanyasporGoztepe
0.4
Goals
0.4
9.5
Shots+3.8
5.7
1.5
On target+0.8
2.2
3.3
Corners+0.8
2.6
AlanyasporGoztepe
0.8
Goals+0.1
0.9
11.4
Shots+5.6
5.8
2.0
On target+0.7
2.7
3.8
Corners+0.9
2.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Goztepe to score74%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals73%
Alanyaspor to score72%

First half — what we expected

Alanyaspor
44%
to score before half-time
Goztepe
40%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 67%

AlanyasporGoztepe
9.51st-half shots5.7
1.51st-half shots on target2.2
3.31st-half corners2.6

First-half chances

67%Chance of 8+ shots25%
46%Chance of 10+ shots11%
72%Chance of 1+ shots on target86%
20%Chance of 3+ shots on target38%
79%Chance of 2+ corners67%
41%Chance of 4+ corners27%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Alanyaspor9.511.4
Shots · Goztepe5.75.8
Shots on target · Alanyaspor1.52.0
Shots on target · Goztepe2.22.7
Corners · Alanyaspor3.33.8
Corners · Goztepe2.62.9
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Alanyaspor 3 · Draws 2 · Goztepe 0
Goztepe in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Mar 2026Göztepe 2–2 Alanyaspor
Oct 2025Alanyaspor 1–0 Göztepe
Feb 2025Göztepe 0–1 Alanyaspor
Aug 2024Alanyaspor 1–1 Göztepe
Mar 2022Göztepe 0–2 Alanyaspor
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Alanyaspor vs Goztepe?

Alanyaspor and Goztepe drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Goztepe at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Alanyaspor had 20 shots (4 on target) to Goztepe's 14 (4), with 64% of the ball against 36%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.7.

What was the final score in Alanyaspor vs Goztepe?

Alanyaspor 2–2 Goztepe, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Alanyaspor 35%, the draw 28% and Goztepe 37%.

What were the stats in Alanyaspor vs Goztepe?

Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.7, Shots 20–14, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 16–10, Big chances 2–2, Corners 9–3, Saves 2–2, Fouls 8–10, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Alanyaspor vs Goztepe?

Yes — both Alanyaspor and Goztepe scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Alanyaspor vs Goztepe right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Goztepe or draw 65%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Süper Lig table →
All fixtures & results →Alanyaspor form →Goztepe form →