How it finished
Alverca and Santa Clara drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Alverca at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 30%. It forecast 2.3 goals and the match produced 2. Alverca had 5 shots (1 on target) to Santa Clara's 15 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 58%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Alverca vs Santa Clara?
Alverca and Santa Clara drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Alverca at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 30%. It forecast 2.3 goals and the match produced 2. Alverca had 5 shots (1 on target) to Santa Clara's 15 (3), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 1.4.
What was the final score in Alverca vs Santa Clara?
Alverca 1–1 Santa Clara, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Alverca 36%, the draw 30% and Santa Clara 35%.
What were the stats in Alverca vs Santa Clara?
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–1.4, Shots 5–15, Shots on target 1–3, Shots inside box 3–10, Big chances 1–2, Corners 10–4, Saves 2–0, Fouls 14–9, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Alverca vs Santa Clara?
Yes — both Alverca and Santa Clara scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Alverca vs Santa Clara right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Alverca or draw 65%, it finished Draw (30% called); Total goals — we said 2.3, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 68%, it finished Landed.