How it finished
AS Monaco beat Marseille 2–0. Bawler's model had AS Monaco in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. AS Monaco had 11 shots (5 on target) to Marseille's 13 (2), with 35% of the ball against 65%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won AS Monaco vs Marseille?
AS Monaco beat Marseille 2–0. Bawler's model had AS Monaco in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. AS Monaco had 11 shots (5 on target) to Marseille's 13 (2), with 35% of the ball against 65%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 1.2.
What was the final score in AS Monaco vs Marseille?
AS Monaco 2–0 Marseille, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the FRANCE: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with AS Monaco 43%, the draw 24% and Marseille 32%.
What were the stats in AS Monaco vs Marseille?
Full-time: Possession 35%–65%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–1.2, Shots 11–13, Shots on target 5–2, Shots inside box 7–7, Big chances 3–1, Corners 5–7, Saves 2–3, Fouls 9–10, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 4–0.
Did both teams score in AS Monaco vs Marseille?
No. It finished 2–0, so Marseille failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for AS Monaco vs Marseille right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AS Monaco or draw 68%, it finished AS Monaco won (43% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.