How it finished
Atalanta beat Bologna 1–0. Bawler's model had Atalanta in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Atalanta had 6 shots (2 on target) to Bologna's 16 (3), with 41% of the ball against 59%. On expected goals it was 0.2 to 1.4, so Bologna created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Atalanta vs Bologna?
Atalanta beat Bologna 1–0. Bawler's model had Atalanta in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Atalanta had 6 shots (2 on target) to Bologna's 16 (3), with 41% of the ball against 59%. On expected goals it was 0.2 to 1.4, so Bologna created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Atalanta vs Bologna?
Atalanta 1–0 Bologna, played on 31 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atalanta 46%, the draw 26% and Bologna 27%.
What were the stats in Atalanta vs Bologna?
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 0.2–1.4, Shots 6–16, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 3–10, Big chances 0–1, Corners 1–2, Saves 3–1, Fouls 10–13, Offsides 0–4, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Atalanta vs Bologna?
No. It finished 1–0, so Bologna failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Atalanta vs Bologna right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Atalanta or draw 73%, it finished Atalanta won (46% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Missed.